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Movie Answer Man: Perception and reality<br>in ‘Shutter Island’

Q. In “Shutter Island”  I noticed something odd. About mid-way through the movie, the Leo DiCaprio character is interviewing a female patient. His partner Chuck gives her a glass of water. At first she only pantomimes drinking the water, then in the next shot you see her putting down an empty glass. When at last she leaves the table, the glass is shown half full. I assume that Scorsese did this intentionally and that it isn’t a blooper, but my movie/symbolism vocabulary is not such that I could interpret the meaning. (Mike) A. It may mean that all perceived reality is deceptive. On the other hand, I think it’s more likely it’s a continuity error.

How I Loved, And Lost, an Aardvark

One day in December I was visiting family and picked up my niece from daycare. We had to leave before her balloon got turned into an animal. It was disappointing. So when we got back to her house, I pulled out my iPhone and showed her an app called Aardvark . We asked Aardvark how we could turn one long balloon into a balloon animal. My niece jumped up and down with excitement every time we got an iPhone push notification that someone out on the internet had an answer to offer. The first 3 people said “draw eyes on it and call it a snake.” That was funny the first time. Then, someone came through with a great link to good instructions for making a balloon animal. We made one, we were happy and proud, and we’d become the kind of people who knew how to make balloon animals. A month later, my niece was visiting my house and we gave her a package of balloons. She whipped up a dog, a horse and a princess crown in minutes. Her mom asked her how she did it and you know what she said? “The Aardvark taught me how to do it!” Google announced today that it bought the company that made that iPhone app. It feels like some closure on my past year of hunting the story of the Aardvark, both personally and professionally. Sponsor I’ve asked for and received from Aardvark advice on cooking, home repair, what color shirt to wear on TV, whether I can easily catch a cab at a particular BART stop and how to make balloon animals. Today Google officially announced the acquisition of Aardvark and its availability in Google Labs. I thought I’d take this opportunity to share a few stories about my year following this company and using its service. There’s no knowing how much attention the project will get inside Google, so this may be a case of “it was fun while it lasted.” But it sure was fun. And perhaps this acquisition won’t be the last we hear of Aardvark, after all. Founded by ex-Google employees, here’s how Aardvark describes its team that built the system: “Over 2009, the company built an amazing technical team of over twenty people, including engineers from each of Silicon Valley’s major technology companies, four AI Ph.D.s, and founders from a dozen different successful startups.” Those people are all Google employees now and have a tidy pile of money. How Aardvark Works I love telling people about Aardvark. It’s interesting, easy to understand and makes almost everyone raise their eyebrows, whether in intrigue or skepticism. Here’s how it works: you get an invite from a friend and that friend says you are someone who knows about music, PHP, Portland, Oregon and barbecue. Then, you accept the invitation and say “I also know about skateboarding and training flea circuses.” So Aardvark tags you as a person who knows about those things. Then, you can ask Aardvark any question you can think of, through Instant Messaging, iPhone, web or Twitter interfaces. The system looks at the text of your question, figures out what the topic is, then goes looking for someone to answer it. Aardvark seeks out people who are tagged as knowing about the topic of your question, are most socially-close to your immediate circle of friends (on Twitter, Facebook or Aardvark), who are available at that very moment via IM or iPhone and who have been rated in the past as good people to answer questions, who have the same propensity to use or avoid obscenity as you do, and a number of other criteria. Aardvark then pings those most-qualified people to ask if they are available to answer your question. If they say they are, it acts as an intermediary, delivering your question and bringing you back answers. The vast majority of questions are answered to the satisfaction of the people who asked them within 5 minutes. It’s amazing. There’s all kinds of technology under the hood, too. The service watches what you’re Tweeting about if you’ve associated your Twitter account, for example, and considers you particularly qualified to answer questions about topics you’ve been discussing most recently on Twitter. It really is an amazing system, from the rapid text analysis to the people-sorting to the well-thought-out user experience. Aardvark’s investors got a little bit of money out of the deal, but seeing one of the leading examples of what some people believe is the future of search (social search) sell for a mere $50 million does raise questions. With a total of $1.3 billion invested in various companies, lead backer August Capital is probably disappointed at this small exit, even if it is nearly 10X the $6 million that Aardvark had raised. The price may well be based on the company’s failure to find a substantial number of users. Aardvark said earlier this month that it had fewer than 100,000 registered users. So be it. The founders will now return to Google, their former employer, with a powerful proof of concept, an eye for the huge Google user base and several million dollars in each of their pockets. Maybe they’ll continue to work on Aardvark itself and maybe they won’t. Only time will tell. In the mean time, I’ve had a great time using Aardvark and have even put it to work for me professionally. Last October I was walking down the street in San Francisco after lunch, headed back to the Moscone Center to see what was rumored to be a big announcement at the Web 2.0 Summit. Microsoft was going to announce that it cut a deal with Twitter to include Tweets in Bing search results. The much more connected Kara Swisher broke the news and I was trying to think of how to add value to the conversation with my coverage. So I put out a tweet: “Are there any User Experience experts at Web 2.0 who can talk to me about Bing/Twitter integration?” By the time I sat down on the floor of the crowded convention hall before the announcement, I hadn’t gotten a single reply on Twitter. So I decided to fire up Aardvark. I asked it by IM, “are there any UX pros available right now to give me a live reaction to some news about to break?” I was quickly delivered 3 suitable User Experience design professionals from around the country, asking me how they could help, through the Aardvark IM interface. I typed, copied and pasted as fast as I could – sending them the link to bing.com/twitter as soon as it was available, getting their thoughts, asking follow-up questions, separating three live interviews in one chat stream (chatting with Aardvark) into three separate interview chunks of text. It was crazy! I typed and thought and parsed as fast as I possibly could and then boom – within minutes of the announcement being over, I had a blog post up . Three User Experience professionals react to the way that the first major search engine to do so integrated the Twitter stream. It was quite a rush and something I couldn’t have done in any other way, without Aardvark. We all knew that Aardvark was born and raised to be sold, probably to Google. When Michael Arrington broke the news 2 months ago that Aardvark was in talks with Google , it wasn’t a surprise. Nor was it a surprise that TechCrunch broke the story, Arrington has held an annual summer event at the offices of August Capital, Aardvark’s lead investor, for years. He’s very connected to the circle of people around Aardvark, as he is with hot Silicon Valley startups quite often. A few days after that news came out, Aardvark CEO Max Ventilla was a guest on Leo Laporte’s show This Week in Tech. I ended up butting in far too much, explaining Vark and telling stories in the TWiT chat room that Leo asked Max about live on the show. I was a little worried that Max was going to get tired of me. I’d been trading emails with him, cursing him for giving exclusives to other media outlets, interviewing him at length for our research report on the future of the Real-Time Web and just generally being a harassing fan and overeager news blogger. After the show, I shot him an email anyway. I told him that I’m not connected enough to break the news that Aardvark is about to sell, but I’d like to try to out-write my competitors. Just like the New York Times writes obituaries for famous people before they die, I’d like to spend some time with him so I can write the story of Aardvark ahead of time, before it gets acquired. He told me there was no rush, that nothing was really happening, but agreed to schedule a call. We scheduled some time, but that morning a pipe exploded in the basement of my house. I emailed him and said I’d reschedule sometime soon. That was two weeks ago. I never got to dive deep into the story of Aardvark, before it got acquired, and now there’s no telling what the future will bring for the company. But I did have a great time chasing Aardvark around in my personal and professional life over the last year. I know how to make a mean sweet potato and butternut squash soup thanks to Aardvark, and I’m not afraid to put certain Arm and Hammer products on my carpet to vacuum up, even if they aren’t labeled for it explicitly. Thanks, Aardvark community. These days I haven’t been responding to my Aardvark IMs as much as I used to. I used to answer lots of questions, so now I get a lot of questions. Most of them are on topics I have no interest in. I spent the end of last year chasing down the next social search company that caught my fancy, the then-unlaunched Quora , built by some of the very first people to join and leave Facebook in the early days. I posted the first screenshots of Quora and use it regularly still, but as a web technology writer it’s my job to be looking for the next new thing. I still enjoy Aardvark and I love the ideas behind it. We’ll see what happens to it at Google, but if absolutely nothing else: my niece and I now know how to make balloon animals. I think that’s very cool. Congrats on your sale, team Vark, and good luck changing the world of search at Google. Discuss

Our Irrational Fear of Numbers

January is a good month for fresh starts, and so we’ve chosen this issue to begin the next phase in the evolution of Street Smarts. In the coming months, we’re going to follow a handful of businesses as they grapple with the challenges of starting up, growing, or simply surviving in the worst economy we’ve seen in a very long time. The companies involved are those I have been, or will be, mentoring. Regular readers of this column are familiar with a few of them — Brian Kelly’s City Beans and Mike Baicher’s West End Express, to name two. Others you haven’t met yet, as I’ve begun working with them only recently. And three of the businesses will be owned and operated by readers of this column. Yours could be one of them. Let me explain. We began thinking about changing the focus of Street Smarts more than a year ago, as I was getting ready to sell a majority stake in my three principal businesses. I knew I’d be doing more pro bono mentoring of entrepreneurs, and I figured we’d want to write more about the challenges they were facing. I also thought it would be fun to offer readers the opportunity to participate. You may recall the note we ran in several issues inviting people to contact me if they were interested in receiving my advice. We expected to hear from a couple dozen readers. In fact, we got hundreds of responses, which was gratifying but also put us in a quandary. How were we going to decide which companies I should take on, and how would we manage the logistics of building long-distance relationships? As it happened, my co-author, Bo Burlingham, and I were just then finishing our book, The Knack: How Street-Smart Entrepreneurs Learn to Handle Whatever Comes Up. We wanted a website to go with the book, and as I was talking to our website designer, I had an idea: Why don’t we hold a contest? The winners would get an all-expenses-paid trip to New York City, where they would spend a day with me. I’d help them with whatever business challenges they were facing, and we’d lay the groundwork for an ongoing relationship, with the possibility of regular updates on their progress in the pages of Inc. The contest is now up and running at our website, at theknack.info . There you will find a 10-question quiz on general business topics. To qualify for the next round, you have to get all of the answers right, but you can take the quiz as many times as you like. Once you pass Level One, you become eligible for Level Two, a quiz based on the concepts we’ve written about both in these columns and in the book. Those who pass the Level Two quiz will be asked to fill out a brief questionnaire, and we’ll choose the winners from that group. Let me say a few words here about how I choose the people I mentor. I usually start by interviewing them in my Brooklyn office for an hour or so. By the end of the discussion, I know whether or not I have any knowledge or experience that could be helpful to them and whether they are willing to listen to me. Notice I said “listen to me.” I didn’t say “take my advice.” I never tell people what to do. Indeed, if they have a strong gut feeling that is different from mine, I encourage them to go with it. But I want them to be open to looking at their situation in a way different from how they’ve been looking at it before. Otherwise, I will be wasting my time. One of the first steps always is to look at the numbers. Consider, for example, a business whose founders I met through my participation in Inc.’s annual Inc. 500 conference. The founders had all been involved in staging the conferences, either as employees of Inc. or as independent contractors. It’s almost impossible to spend time around successful entrepreneurs without thinking about becoming one of them, and that prospect had proved irresistible for three of the conference producers: Elizabeth Busch, Anne Frey-Mott, and Beckie Jankiewicz. Two of the women, Anne and Elizabeth, already had their own businesses. Anne’s company, Conference Solutions, had been around for 11 years and specialized in selecting sites, negotiating contracts, and managing relationships with hotels and conference centers. Elizabeth, who had launched her business in 2005, focused more on the design and marketing of events. Beckie was director of events for Inc. and its sister publication, Fast Company, and had experience in handling the logistical challenges of developing several projects simultaneously. Although the three of them had no formal link, they often partnered on conferences. Inevitably, they began thinking about starting a business together. The closer they looked at the possibility, the more convinced they became that they could work more efficiently, market more effectively, create more value, and produce better results overall if they were part of the same company — a full-service events business. Last February, Beckie left her job at Mansueto Ventures (Inc.’s parent company), and in April she, Anne, and Elizabeth formed The Event Studio, with each as an equal partner. The plan was for Elizabeth to phase out her company as its current projects were completed, but Anne would keep Conference Solutions alive for the sake of customers that did not need the other services offered by The Event Studio. They were still in the formative stage of their new business when they first came to me for advice in December 2007. Unlike most companies I work with, theirs was essentially a start-up. Then again, I was already familiar with, and had a high opinion of, their work, and I thought their logic for joining forces made sense. But I could also see that, while they had a clear vision of where they wanted to wind up, they didn’t understand the steps they had to take to get there. Having taken those steps many times myself, I offered to be their guide. They readily accepted. As the offspring of two existing businesses, The Event Studio began with a significant advantage not enjoyed by most brand-new ventures: revenue. Anne’s business and Elizabeth’s business both had ongoing, unfinished projects of the sort their new company would be signing up in the future. Anne and Elizabeth could hire The Event Studio to do the remaining work on those projects. When the old companies got paid by their customers, they could pay The Event Studio, thereby generating the cash flow the new company needed to get off the ground. That’s exactly what Anne and Elizabeth did, but when I spoke with them again several months later, I realized they had neglected a critical step. They hadn’t made sure that The Event Studio submitted bills to their respective companies for the work done. They hadn’t thought of it, of course, because they were the ones doing the work, just as if they had simply continued to partner. Billing their old companies felt like sending invoices to themselves. Problem was, the customers’ contracts were with the old companies, and those were the entities that received the payments. Unless the old companies, in turn, received — and paid — bills from The Event Studio, it would appear that Anne and Elizabeth had taken the money and invested it in the new business. So, you ask, what’s wrong with that? Nothing, in principle. It wouldn’t become a concern for them until they had their accountants figure out their respective tax liabilities for the year. At that point, they would discover they owed a lot more than they expected. Why? Because each of their old companies would have revenue with no expenses to put against it. The expenses would have been incurred by The Event Studio. The money that the old companies received from their customers for the work done by The Event Studio would look like pure profit, on which they would be taxed accordingly. Fortunately, we caught the oversight in time. To be sure, they didn’t necessarily need my help to avoid this particular pitfall. A good accountant might well have discovered what had happened before Anne and Elizabeth were forced to pay taxes they didn’t really owe. Then again, many outside accountants don’t ask all the questions they should about the numbers they’re given. They’re too busy. They have dozens of clients and only so much time to spend on each one. That’s why it’s dangerous for entrepreneurs to rely on an outside accountant to oversee their finances. Like it or not, you need to understand the numbers of your business, and that requires knowing something about accounting. And if there’s one aspect you need to know, it’s the difference between cash- based and accrual-based accounting. Otherwise, you won’t really know whether you’re making or losing money. Here’s the (somewhat oversimplified) difference in a nutshell: With cash-based accounting, you record sales and expenses only when money changes hands. That is, you don’t recognize a sale until you get paid for it or an expense until you hand over the cash. With accrual-based accounting, you record sales and expenses when you do the work involved in creating and delivering the product or service a customer has agreed to purchase. All individuals and most small businesses use cash-based accounting to figure out what taxes they owe, and it’s fine for that purpose. But cash-based accounting doesn’t tell you how you’re really doing as a business, and as a result it can lead you astray. I’ll give you a hypothetical example. Suppose The Event Studio books two new events in December. One is a large conference that will take place the following spring, for which the company receives a deposit of $10,000 but on which it does no work in December. The other is a sales meeting scheduled for February. Let’s say the total fee for that one is $6,000, and the company operates at a 50 percent gross margin, meaning its direct costs will be $3,000. It will be paid half of its total fee for the sales meeting in the middle of January. Nevertheless, it completes a third of the work in December and pays a third of the costs, or $1,000. On a cash basis, the women made $9,000 ($10,000 of cash received minus $1,000 of expenses paid) during the month. If they had no other sales or expenses during the year, that’s the amount on which they would pay taxes. But to understand how the business really did in December, they need to look at sales and expenses on an accrual basis. They can’t include the $10,000 deposit in their sales figure, because they did no work on the conference during the month. On the other hand, since they’ve done a third of the work on the sales meeting, they can record a third of the total fee, or $2,000, as well as the $1,000 they incurred to cover the cost of that work. So their profit for the month was really $1,000, not $9,000. (For the purposes of this example, we’re ignoring overhead expenses.) Now, all that may seem obvious to you, but it doesn’t seem so obvious if you aren’t used to working with the numbers of a business. When I asked The Event Studio women for their 2008 income statement, they had no idea whether to include the deposits in their sales totals. Similarly, they didn’t know whether to include expenses they’d been billed for but hadn’t yet paid. Predictably, what they produced was a mishmash, and not because they’re stupid. On the contrary, all three are extremely bright. But if you’ve never taken the time to learn the basics of accounting, even experienced entrepreneurs can get tripped up. On the other hand, when you do learn the basics of accounting, you realize that the numbers aren’t as complicated as you feared and that you’re finally developing the knowledge you need to be in control of your company. As we went through their income statement, I had the sense that Elizabeth, Beckie, and Anne felt a fog lifting. It was a small step on the road to building their business, but it was a crucial one. We’ll be looking at the next steps in the months ahead. Norm Brodsky is a veteran entrepreneur. His co-author is editor-at-large Bo Burlingham. Their book, The Knack, was published by Portfolio in October.

How to Fix Cash-Flow Problems

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How to Fix Cash-Flow Problems

Secret language in German letters of reference

In Germany, providing hiring managers your letters of reference (Arbeitszeugnis) from all your previous jobs is serious. Inability to present such letters raises the same suspicion as a gap in the CV. read more

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